Week in Weather 3/31/25 to 8 /30/26

Guy54435 · 2025-04-01T00:44:27+00:00

I seem to have dodged major tree damage with only a few limbs here and there, others in my area are not so lucky but nothing major that I am aware of except for power outages and the Hodag Dome collapsing in Rhinelander, Wi. Now we have this coming on Tuesday night. Tomorrow Night 04/01 87% / 3 in Watching a potential winter storm. Periods of snow. Low 28F. Winds ESE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches. Blah yuck again.

Guy54435

Ryan talks about how the winter is shaping up and what to expect now.
Here’s How Much Snow You’ll Get This Year?

Heat84

Wow! It was visible in Florida! I missed it by 160 miles!☹️😭: https://www.floridatoday.com/story/tech/science/space/2025/11/12/northern-lights-aurora-visible-over-florida-cape-canaveral-space-coast-wednesday-night/87226117007/

Maybe I would’ve actually seen it If I remembered to look.

It was also visible in Texas.

Edit: How come the URL above wasn’t converted into a pretty link?😕

GeekGirl1

Heat84 Edit: How come the URL above wasn’t converted into a pretty link?😕

Because you had the link where the page title should be. Fix it like this:

[Northern lights dance over Space Coast Tuesday night, turning sky red](https://www.floridatoday.com/story/tech/science/space/2025/11/12/northern-lights-aurora-visible-over-florida-cape-canaveral-space-coast-wednesday-night/87226117007/)

Will show as: Northern lights dance over Space Coast Tuesday night, turning sky red

Heat84

GeekGirl1 Because you had the link where the page title should be. Fix it like this:

[Northern lights dance over Space Coast Tuesday night, turning sky red]( https://www.floridatoday.com/story/tech/science/space/2025/11/12/northern-lights-aurora-visible-over-florida-cape-canaveral-space-coast-wednesday-night/87226117007/floridatoday.comhttps://www.floridatoday.com/story/tech/science/space/2025/11/12/northern-lights-aurora-visible-over-florida-cape-canaveral-space-coast-wednesday-night/87226117007/No preview could be generated for this link)

Will show as: Northern lights dance over Space Coast Tuesday night, turning sky red

You don’t need to use the link tag to make a pretty link with this forum software. You just put the URL in your post and the forum software does all the work. I didn’t use the link tag. I guess there’s something weird with that website.

Guy54435

A Huge Shift Is About To Hit Our Weather.

Guy54435

Guy54435 I wish I was with Ryan and Stephanie last night, that would have been awesome.

Somewhat-Reticent

Fall/autumn - season of the drizz …
And double rainbows. Purple Blue Green Yellow Orange Violet.
Light peach / grey backdrop.

Guy54435

GeekGirl1

10 day for Southeast PA (just north of Philadelphia on the NJ border).

GeekGirl1

My local forecast is mentioning the “S” word for the first time this season - a brief hit of snow showers within the next ½ hour. It’s just before sunrise now, so I may not see it.

Guy54435

Two Major Storms Are Forming.

Guy54435

573
ACUS11 KWNS 182056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182056
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-182300-

Mesoscale Discussion 2208
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Areas affected…portions of southeastern Missouri…western
Tennessee and Kentucky into far southern Illinois

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

Valid 182056Z - 182300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…40 percent

SUMMARY…Isolated strong to severe storms, including a few
supercells are possible late this afternoon into this evening.
Should stronger storms develop and maintain, hail, and perhaps a
tornado or two are possible.

DISCUSSION…As of 2100 UTC, regional satellite imagery showed
several bands of gradually deepening cumulus across portions of
southern MO and far northern AR. Developing along a subtle
confluence axis near a surface low positioned at the junction of the
MS/OH rivers, weak low-level convergence near the low and increasing
ascent ahead of a mid-level trough should continue to support
destabilization and weakening of remaining inhibition this
afternoon. Continued heating amid increasing boundary-layer moisture
(dewpoints near 60 F) is supporting 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE,
sufficient for strong updrafts. A 50-60+ kt westerly mid-level jet
overspreading the northern portions of the warm sector will also aid
in enlarging low and mid-level hodographs for organized storms,
including a few supercells.

With sufficient buoyancy and vertical shear for supercells, a
conditional severe risk is apparent late this afternoon. Some CAM
guidance shows a band of broken cells spreading east/southeastward
across the MO Boot Heal into northeast AR and western TN/KY vicinity
through this evening. With the aforementioned environment conducive
for supercells, hail would be possible given stronger rotating
updrafts and 7-7.5 C/km mid-level lapse rates. The threat for a
tornado or two is less certain, but could be locally favored near
the warm front where the strongest low-level shear (ESRH 100-200
m2/s2) and moisture advection are expected tonight.

The primary uncertainty this afternoon and evening remains the
intensity and longevity of any surface/near-surface based storms
able to develop. With large-scale forcing passing north of the
returning warm sector, convective coverage may be somewhat sparse or
delayed until the low-level jet strengthens isentropic ascent later
this evening. Given this uncertainty, it is unclear if a WW is
needed, though the environment could support some severe threat into
tonight. Conditions will continue to be monitored closely should WW
issuance be needed.

..Lyons/Guyer.. 11/18/2025

ATTN…WFO…OHX…PAH…MEG…LSX…LZK…SGF…

LAT…LON 37008736 37798835 38208990 38119081 36969215 36389199
35848981 35758834 35878773 36218714 37008736

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY…100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST…55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE…1.00-1.75 IN

Guy54435

EXPIRED
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~

818
WFUS53 KPAH 190029
TORPAH
KYC075-MOC133-190100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0152.251119T0029Z-251119T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Paducah KY
629 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a

Tornado Warning for…
Eastern Fulton County in western Kentucky…
Southern Mississippi County in southeastern Missouri…
Until 700 PM CST.
At 629 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Dorena, or near Hickman, moving southeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
This dangerous storm will be near…
Hickman around 635 PM CST.
Cayce around 640 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

LAT…LON 3651 8910 3650 8921 3660 8933 3667 8924
3653 8899 3650 8906
TIME…MOT…LOC 0029Z 305DEG 26KT 3660 8925

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…<.75 IN

630
WWUS53 KPAH 190035
SVSPAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
635 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

KYC075-MOC133-190100-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0152.000000T0000Z-251119T0100Z/
Fulton KY-Mississippi MO-
635 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR EASTERN
FULTON AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES…

At 635 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hickman, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near…
Hickman and Cayce around 640 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

LAT…LON 3656 8929 3664 8918 3653 8899 3650 8906
3651 8910 3650 8921
TIME…MOT…LOC 0035Z 305DEG 26KT 3657 8920

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…<.75 IN

470
WWUS53 KPAH 190041
SVSPAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
641 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

KYC075-190100-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0152.000000T0000Z-251119T0100Z/
Fulton KY-
641 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN FULTON COUNTY…

At 641 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hickman, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near…
Cayce around 645 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

LAT…LON 3653 8925 3661 8913 3653 8899 3650 8906
3651 8910 3650 8921
TIME…MOT…LOC 0041Z 305DEG 26KT 3654 8915

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…1.00 IN

Guy54435

Follow along with Y’allbot for more storm warnings and updates

Guy54435

The Thanksgiving Forecast Is Taking A Turn.

Guy54435

EXPIRED
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~

846
WWUS54 KSHV 210334
SVSSHV

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
934 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

TXC073-401-423-210400-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0095.000000T0000Z-251121T0400Z/
Cherokee TX-Rusk TX-Smith TX-
934 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

…TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE, WEST CENTRAL RUSK AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH
COUNTIES…

At 934 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 5 miles southeast of Troup, or 13 miles southeast of
Whitehouse, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

Locations impacted include…
Overton, Arp and Turnertown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built
building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home,
or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are difficult to observe at night. Take cover now!

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT…LON 3217 9510 3228 9500 3208 9481 3204 9499
3214 9509
TIME…MOT…LOC 0323Z 239DEG 23KT 3207 9512

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…1.00 IN

Guy54435

Stay updated with the severe weather tonight, Follow along with Yallbot

Guy54435

A Quick Thanksgiving Forecast

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