Week in Weather 3/31/25 to 8 /30/26

Guy54435 · 2025-04-01T00:44:27+00:00

I seem to have dodged major tree damage with only a few limbs here and there, others in my area are not so lucky but nothing major that I am aware of except for power outages and the Hodag Dome collapsing in Rhinelander, Wi. Now we have this coming on Tuesday night. Tomorrow Night 04/01 87% / 3 in Watching a potential winter storm. Periods of snow. Low 28F. Winds ESE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches. Blah yuck again.

telcodad

Guy54435 Much better in the upcoming days than the past 4 days

Here too:

Guy54435

Here’s Why The Next Few Days Get WILD.

Guy54435

Dangerous Heat & Storms Ignite Across Nation.

Guy54435

As of 6:30pm CT all Tornado warnings have expired
~~4:39pm CT~~
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~
Severe Weather Coverage With Storm Chasers On The Ground - Live Weather

Guy54435

7:15pm CT EXPIRED
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~

Guy54435

7:45pm CT all Tornado Warnings have Expired
~~7:18pm CT~~
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~

Guy54435

The June 25, 2025 Severe Weather Coverage, As It Happened.

Guy54435

587
WWUS53 KDMX 262121
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
421 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

IAC081-197-262200-
/O.CON.KDMX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250626T2200Z/
Wright IA-Hancock IA-
421 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT AND SOUTHERN HANCOCK COUNTIES…

At 421 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Kanawha, or 16 miles north of Clarion, moving east
at 25 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near…
Kanawha around 425 PM CDT.
Klemme around 440 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Klemme, Kanawha, and Goodell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

LAT…LON 4290 9390 4299 9392 4314 9350 4289 9350
TIME…MOT…LOC 2121Z 252DEG 22KT 4295 9385

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…<.75 IN

Guy54435

~~TORNADO Coverage With Storm Chasers reporting on the ground - Live Weather~~

Sparkchaser

Future radar for us. Around 8-9 PM.

Guy54435

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0520
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
344 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected…Mid-Atlantic

Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding possible

Valid 261945Z - 270145Z

SUMMARY…Increasing number of thunderstorms will producing
downpours containing hourly rainfall rates >2″/hr in some cases.
Flash flooding is possible in impacted areas, especially areas
with saturated soils and within more urbanized communities.

DISCUSSION…The Mid-Atlantic is caught between a series of
converging surface boundaries. A back-door cold front is
approaching from the east, marching through the Delaware Valley
and slowly making its way towards the northern neck of the
Chesapeake Bay. To the north and west, a stationary front and the
added help of a lake breeze off Lake Erie has triggered
thunderstorms over northeast Ohio that are tracking southeast into
western PA. Plus, strong surface based heating has been unfolding
across the region that is causing a burgeoning field of
cumulonimbus clouds along the Central Appalachians. The 12Z IAD
RAOB showed a convective temp of 93F, which most areas from
southeast PA on south through MD and into northern VA have all
reached as of 19Z. Storms are initiating within an environment
that is likely to have anywhere from 1,000-2,000 J/kg of MLCAPE
and PWs that range between 1.75″ from western and central PA to

2.0″ from the DC/Baltimore area on east to the northern DelMarVa
Peninsula. Vertical wind shear soundings show generally weak shear
aloft, making storm modes largely pulse-like in nature. However,
outflow boundaries emanating from these first batch of storms will
fire additional thunderstorms that congeal into larger clusters in
parts of the Mid-Atlantic this evening.

The 12Z HREF’s probabilistic guidance is keying in on the greater
DC/Baltimore metro area on north into the Lower Susquehanna Valley
with the low-to-moderate chances (30-60%, highest probs in the DC
metro area on east to the MD Eastern Shore) for >3″ of rainfall
between 21-03Z this evening. Farther west, thunderstorms
propagating southeast from western OH will be a focus for
additional thunderstorm development, as will areas along and north
of I-80 where differential heating is becoming more pronounced.
Some thunderstorms will be capable of producing >2″/hr rainfall
rates given the available instability and moisture parameters,
making places with sensitive soils (>80% 0-40cm soil saturation in
northern WV, western and central PA) and heavier urbanized
environments particularly susceptible to flash flooding this
evening. Thunderstorm coverage should begin to fade after 03Z
given the marginal vertical wind shear aloft and loss of daytime
heating.

Mullinax

ATTN…WFO…AKQ…BGM…CTP…LWX…PBZ…PHI…RLX…

ATTN…RFC…RHA…TIR…NWC…

LAT…LON 41827623 41367525 40217554 39507507 38347547
37847628 37867748 37917902 38597966 40078014
40907993 41327907 41587753

Guy54435

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0521
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
459 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected…Central WI…Northeast IA…Southeast MN

Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding possible

Valid 262100Z - 270245Z

SUMMARY…Thunderstorm coverage will increase along and north of a
frontal boundary draped over southern WI this afternoon and
evening. Repeating rounds of strong thunderstorms both along the
frontal boundary and with assistance from approaching storms from
the west may cause flash flooding.

DISCUSSION…20Z surface analysis shows the location of the
west-to-east oriented frontal boundary well, with a more organized
complex of storms over southeast MN as a remnant MCV tracks
towards central WI. Strong 925-850mb theta-e advection is underway
over the Upper Midwest and will slowly inch the stationary front
north as a warm front this evening. The influence of this
low-level theta-e advection is evident in the increasing MUCAPE
field in central WI as RTMA 3-hr trends show as much as 600-1,000
J/kg MUCAPE increases over the past 3-hours alone. The Upper
Midwest remains ideally positioned beneath the diffluent
right-entrance region of a 250mb jet streak and PWs are steadily
rising. By 00Z tonight, the highlighted region is expected to see
PWs range between 1.75-2.0″, which is generally above the 97.5
climatological percentile per ECMWF ensemble guidance. With MUCAPE
along the boundary near 2,000 J/kg, and even areas as far north as
Green Bay likely to see up to 500 J/kg of MUCAPE, the stage is set
for widespread thunderstorms that could contain up to 2″/hr
rainfall rates.

Aiding in the efficient rainfall production is the presence of
vertical wind shear and helicity. Effective bulk shear values >40
kts and effective SRH values >100 m2/s2 support thunderstorms
potentially sustaining mesocyclones, which are very efficient
rainfall producers. In addition, low-mid level RH values are
averaging close to 90% and warm cloud layers per the 18Z RAP for
this evening are pegged to be as deep as 13,000ft. West-Central WI
also sports highly saturated soils with NASA SPoRT-LIS 0-40cm soil
moisture percentiles well above the 90th percentile. As isentropic
ascent and low-level moisture advection increase along and ahead
of the approaching surface trough, there is the concern for
repeated rounds of thunderstorms in parts of the region. Once the
cold front approaches the region between 00-02Z, storm motions
over central WI should be more continuous off to the north and
east. Until then, however, there is a concern for training storms
across portions of central WI, far southeast MN, and far northeast
IA. Flash flooding is possible this evening, particularly in areas
with sensitive soils and where storms train along and north of the
frontal boundary in southern WI.

Mullinax

ATTN…WFO…ARX…GRB…MKX…MPX…

ATTN…RFC…MSR…NWC…

LAT…LON 45329101 45168840 44458740 43388785 43118856
43048972 42779142 43249248 43759278 44959268

Guy54435

675
AWUS01 KWNH 262202
FFGMPD
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-270200-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0522
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
601 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected…Eastern OH…Northern WV Panhandle…Southwest PA

Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding possible

Valid 262200Z - 270200Z

SUMMARY…Ongoing clusters of storms to continue for the next
several hours, prolonging the flash flood threat into this evening.

DISCUSSION…Doppler radar shows scattered, slow-moving
thunderstorms from southwest Ohio and along the Ohio River on east
to far southwest Pennsylvania. The region does lie at the nose of
an unusually strong 50kt ESErly 200mb jet located over the
Southeast. This additional synoptic-scale influence is helping to
provide some upper-level support in a setup that is otherwise
heavily driven by daytime heating and nearby mesoscale boundaries
(outflows, lake breeze off Lake Eire most notably). Storms will
have as much as 2,000 J/kg of MLCAPE at their disposal through the
remainder of the afternoon and into this evening. PWs are also
ranging between 1.8-2.0″, supporting the ongoing Excessive
Rainfall rates being observed in central and southwest OH.

Additional thunderstorms will likely come about as a result of
outflow boundaries emanating from ongoing convection, as well as
outflows colliding with other nearby outflow boundaries. Vertical
wind shear is light, making these storms highly dependent upon
cold-pool driven processes and congealing clusters of storms. With
a couple more hours of daylight to go, more storms are likely to
take advantage of the unstable/moist environment, as well as from
the help of an anomalous 200mb jet streak aloft. Additional rounds
of flash flooding are possible within the highlighted at-risk
region through the remainder of this afternoon.

Mullinax

ATTN…WFO…CLE…ILN…IWX…PBZ…RLX…

ATTN…RFC…TIR…NWC…

LAT…LON 40848340 40828140 40528027 39738023 39118046
38578168 38708279 38668375 39568409 40608399

Guy54435

242
ACUS11 KWNS 262256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262255
NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-270030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1464
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0555 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected…portions of southeastern Pennsylvania to the
DelMarVa and southern New Jersey

Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 464…

Valid 262255Z - 270030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 464
continues.

SUMMARY…Damaging gusts will remain possible across the Mid
Atlantic this evening.

DISCUSSION…Across northeastern portions of WW464, a cluster of
thunderstorms has gradually taken on a more linear appearance early
this evening. The environment ahead of these storms is largely
pristine with moderate to large buoyancy and modestly steep
low-level lapse rates amid weak vertical shear. This will continue
to support strong updrafts with this convection through the early
evening hours. Additional storm development/intensification into a
loose QLCS appears likely as storms propagate east/southeastward
along a remnant coastal boundary. Locally greater forcing along this
boundary, and a strengthening cold pool should allow for increased
forward propagation of the entire linear cluster. This suggests a
continued damaging gust threat is likely, particularly from southern
NJ, to eastern MD/PA and DE this evening.

..Lyons.. 06/26/2025

ATTN…WFO…PHI…AKQ…CTP…LWX…

LAT…LON 39667675 40077642 40337565 39927492 39507447 39067474
37947534 38077621 38507651 38937679 39367685 39667675

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST…55-70 MPH

Guy54435

252
AWUS01 KWNH 262256
FFGMPD
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-270300-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0523
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
655 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected…Southern & Central WV…Southwest VA

Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding possible

Valid 262255Z - 270300Z

SUMMARY…As rounds of slow moving strong thunderstorms continue
to flare up this afternoon, additional areas of flash flooding are
possible. Areas along steep terrain are most at-risk, as well as
in low-lying valleys.

DISCUSSION…Thunderstorms flaring up across southwest VA and
southern WV have had a history of producing Excessive Rainfall
rates with some elevated streamflow magnitudes evident in and
around the Radford, VA area. The environment remains favorable for
at least several more hours with mesoanalysis showing MLCAPE
values between 1,000-2,000 J/kg and PWs of 1.7-1.9″ for much of
the highlighted area. These storms are also feeling the effects of
a rather strong ESErly 200mb jet located over the Carolinas. These
winds are unusual in terms of both strength its direction (ESE)
which may be allowing for enhanced upper-level divergence over the
region. Additional thunderstorm development will be largely due to
outflow boundaries and congealing cold pools. The lack of
sufficient vertical wind shear should keep these storms relatively
short-lived (1-2 hours generally), but given the environmental
parameters and some synoptic-scale support aloft, as much as 2-4″
worth of rainfall could occur within the next few hours within the
more intense storms. With that said, additional flash flooding is
possible for the remainder of the afternoon and into this evening.
Areas most at-risk are within low-lying valleys or along steep
terrain.

Mullinax

ATTN…WFO…JKL…RLX…RNK…

ATTN…RFC…ALR…ORN…RHA…TIR…NWC…

LAT…LON 39238006 38417985 37887970 37317950 36928001
36948088 37148183 37698229 38398226 38728112

Guy54435

EXPIRED AT 6:33pm CT
~~NWS TORNADO WARNING~~

059
WFUS53 KMKX 262318
TORMKX
WIC111-262345-
/O.NEW.KMKX.TO.W.0011.250626T2318Z-250626T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
618 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a

Tornado Warning for…
Northwestern Sauk County in south central Wisconsin…
Until 645 PM CDT.
At 618 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hillsboro, or 18 miles southwest of Mauston,
moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Sauk County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

LAT…LON 4364 8998 4356 9031 4364 9031
TIME…MOT…LOC 2318Z 236DEG 45KT 4362 9036

TORNADO…RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE…<.75 IN

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